In the october legislative elections the richest provinces voted more negatively than the poorest
Nov-05-01
A Centro de Estudios Nuava Mayoria shows that in the 2001 legislative election the countries’ poorest provinces reported that both the voting turnout as well as the trend to vote negatively –blank or void- were lower than the rest of the country whereas the inverse occurs in the highest socio-economic level.
According to the study, in the October 14 legislative elections the voting turnout accounted for 74.7% of the list of registered voters, the lowest percentage since 1983 –4.5 percentage points less than the average which is of 79.2%- and the negative vote, which is the sum of blank, void and contested votes accounted for 20.9% of the total votes issued, representing the highest percentage since 1983.
Poverty, turnout, negative vote of the october 14 election
|
District |
UBN Population* (%) |
Turnout 2001 |
Negative vote 2001 |
|
Formosa |
34,3 |
69,6 |
7,6 |
|
Salta |
33,9 |
59,6 |
8,2 |
|
Jujuy |
33,6 |
67,6 |
19,1 |
|
Santiago del Estero |
33,6 |
63,7 |
5,5 |
|
Chaco |
33,2 |
72,4 |
5,7 |
|
Misiones |
30,0 |
71,7 |
11,2 |
|
Corrientes |
26,9 |
70,3 |
7,6 |
|
Tierra del Fuego |
25,5 |
70,5 |
26,8 |
|
Tucumán |
24,6 |
63,5 |
11,8 |
|
Catamarca |
24,6 |
75,5 |
7,2 |
|
La Rioja |
23,6 |
75,8 |
15,4 |
|
Río Negro |
20,7 |
71,4 |
25,5 |
|
Chubut |
19,4 |
72,4 |
24,9 |
|
Neuquén |
19,1 |
75,2 |
22,9 |
|
San Luis |
18,7 |
74,3 |
6,6 |
|
Entre Ríos |
17,2 |
78,4 |
21,0 |
|
San Juan |
17,2 |
75,2 |
23,5 |
|
Country total |
16,5 |
74,7 |
20,9 |
|
Mendoza |
15,3 |
72,6 |
16,0 |
|
Santa Cruz |
15,2 |
77,5 |
10,4 |
|
Buenos Aires |
14,7 |
74,7 |
24,9 |
|
Santa Fe |
14,0 |
75,2 |
40,3 |
|
Córdoba |
12,8 |
72,8 |
18,7 |
|
La Pampa |
12,0 |
78,8 |
15,1 |
|
Capital Federal |
7,0 |
72,1 |
28,9 |
*Unsatisfied basic needs: estimate based on 1991
Census (INDEC)
Source: Centro de Estudios Nueva Mayoría
Analyzing voting turnout by district, the participation was lower in Salta (59,6%), Tucumán (63,5%), Santiago del Estero (63,7%) and Jujuy (67,6%). For another thing, the districts that reported higher turnouts include La Pampa (78,8%), Entre Ríos (78,4%) and Santa Cruz (77,5%).
A sociological reading of these results shows that in the poorest provinces voting turnout in the election was lower –considering as poverty indicator the percentage of the people with Unsatisfied Basic Needs (UBN) over the total of the provincial population- whereas as the socio-economic level of provinces hoes up, turnout is higher. As the table below shows, in the nine poorest districts, voting turnout remained below the national average and in the four poorest it remained even below 70%.
In connection with the negative vote the inverse phenomenon appears. Except for Jujuy, showing a negative vote of 19.1% -close to the country’s average of 20.9%- in the poorest provinces the sum of blank and void votes is below the national average. The districts that reported lower negative votes are Santiago del Estero and Chaco (two provinces with one third of the people below the poverty line) with 5.5 and 5.7% respectively. As the socio-economic level of provinces goes up, this phenomenon is more significant reaching the peak in Santa Fe (40.3%) and the Federal Capital (28.9%) where poverty is relatively lower.
As to the two electoral perceptions of disappointment with politics – voting absence closer to feelings of disinterest or apathy and the negative vote closer to an active rejection- there is a marked socio-economic difference in the analysis by provinces: the first is stronger in the regions with lower socio-economic level and the second is more relevant in higher socio-economic level provinces.
Si comparamos la no concurrencia sobre el total del padrón con el voto negativo sobre los votos emitidos, vemos que en las provincias de mayor pobreza quienes no votan predominan claramente.
SOURCE: Centro de Estudios Nueva Mayoría
In turn, making the same comparison in the case of provinces with lower poverty, we see the negative vote is much more relevant.

Centro de Estudios Nueva Mayoría
The following conclusions may be drawn:
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